🪲 BugOut Index

Weekly history

Trailing 30 week(s) of recorded observations. The full CSV is in runtime/data/ of the repository.

BugOut Index & core metrics

Date BOI Inflation Rate Violent + Property Crime Unemployment Rate Debt-to-GDP Ratio Homelessness Rate Trust in Government
2026-11-06 57.38 3.7172508442689933 2443.27 4.1 121.18773 0.22 39.0
2026-10-30 57.31 3.7172508442689933 2443.27 4.2 121.18773 0.22 39.0
2026-10-23 57.19 3.7172508442689933 2443.27 4.2 122.59387 0.22 39.0
2026-10-16 57.19 3.7172508442689933 2443.27 4.2 122.59387 0.22 39.0
2026-10-09 57.66 3.353016322755652 2443.27 4.2 122.59387 0.23 41.0
2026-10-02 57.04 3.353016322755652 2723.0 4.2 122.59387 0.23 41.0
2026-09-25 57.11 3.353016322755652 2723.0 4.1 122.59387 0.23 41.0
2026-09-19 57.11 3.353016322755652 2723.0 4.1 122.59387 0.23 41.0
2026-09-12 57.11 3.353016322755652 2723.0 4.1 122.59387 0.23 41.0
2026-09-05 57.15 3.303856050706308 2723.0 4.1 122.59387 0.23 41.0
2026-08-29 57.15 3.303856050706308 2723.0 4.1 122.59387 0.23 41.0
2026-08-21 57.15 3.303856050706308 2723.0 4.1 122.59387 0.23 41.0
2026-08-14 57.15 3.303856050706308 2723.0 4.1 122.59387 0.23 41.0
2026-08-07 57.02 3.4635307293854063 2723.0 4.1 122.59387 0.23 41.0
2026-08-01 56.95 3.4635307293854063 2723.0 4.2 122.59387 0.23 41.0
2026-07-24 56.95 3.4635307293854063 2723.0 4.2 122.59387 0.23 41.0
2026-07-17 56.95 3.4635307293854063 2723.0 4.2 122.59387 0.23 41.0
2026-07-10 56.36 4.166614684049648 2723.0 4.2 122.59387 0.23 41.0
2026-07-03 56.36 4.166614684049648 2723.0 4.2 122.59387 0.23 41.0
2026-06-26 56.3 4.166614684049648 2723.0 4.3 122.59387 0.23 41.0
2026-06-19 56.28 4.166614684049648 2723.0 4.3 122.77209 0.23 41.0
2026-06-12 56.3 4.166614684049648 2723.0 4.3 122.56815 0.23 41.0
2026-06-05 56.62 3.7792458367415627 2723.0 4.3 122.56815 0.23 41.0
2026-05-29 56.62 3.7792458367415627 2723.0 4.3 122.56815 0.23 41.0
2026-05-22 56.62 3.7792458367415627 2723.0 4.3 122.56815 0.23 41.0
2026-05-15 56.62 3.7792458367415627 2723.0 4.3 122.56815 0.23 41.0
2026-05-08 57.03 3.2859577528652006 2723.0 4.3 122.56815 0.23 41.0
2026-05-01 57.03 3.2859577528652006 2723.0 4.3 122.56815 0.23 41.0
2026-04-25 57.03 3.2859577528652006 2723.0 4.3 122.56815 0.23 41.0
2026-04-21 57.03 3.2859577528652006 2723.0 4.3 122.56815 0.23 41.0

Markets

DateGold (USD/oz)Silver (USD/oz)DXY
2026-11-06 4072.1001 52.071 121.6656
2026-10-30 3876.3999 49.254 121.3202
2026-10-23 3996.8999 54.046 121.4048
2026-10-16 4166.1001 57.116 121.6023
2026-10-09 4195.6001 60.949 121.3848
2026-10-02 4141.7998 60.524 120.33
2026-09-25 4286.2002 64.419 119.5133
2026-09-19 4379.0 66.377 118.2126
2026-09-12 4349.7002 64.622 118.0732
2026-09-05 4431.1001 66.341 118.7479
2026-08-29 4456.3999 66.503 118.0628
2026-08-21 4604.3999 69.108 118.9028
2026-08-14 4377.6001 64.827 119.0649
2026-08-07 4343.2998 63.707 119.7034
2026-08-01 4043.7 57.69 120.7105
2026-07-24 4053.7 58.282 120.5315
2026-07-17 4019.3 56.08 120.5046
2026-07-10 4121.3999 60.014 120.6902
2026-07-03 4176.1001 62.517 120.8866
2026-06-26 4090.6001 59.298 120.3958
2026-06-19 4156.7002 64.961 119.5073
2026-06-12 4220.2998 68.157 120.0831
2026-06-05 4330.0 67.965 118.8783
2026-05-29 4540.2998 75.4 119.2868
2026-05-22 4510.5 75.643 119.2825
2026-05-15 4541.2002 76.092 118.0392
2026-05-08 4715.7002 80.468 118.3926
2026-05-01 4615.3999 75.472 118.7294
2026-04-25 4600.0 73.413 118.7294
2026-04-21 4784.2998 78.966 118.0795

Short-term pulse

Date Initial Jobless Claims U. Michigan Consumer Sentiment OECD Business Confidence (US) 10y − 2y Treasury Spread VIX (Volatility)
2026-11-06 189000.0 48.1 98.96989 0.35 28.18
2026-10-30 194000.0 48.1 98.96989 0.38 17.2
2026-10-23 194000.0 48.1 98.96989 0.31 19.03
2026-10-16 199000.0 51.7 98.96989 0.35 16.46
2026-10-09 197000.0 51.7 98.96989 0.44 15.41
2026-10-02 197000.0 51.7 98.96989 0.45 16.39
2026-09-25 197000.0 51.7 98.96989 0.36 14.21
2026-09-19 196000.0 55.2 98.96989 0.25 15.44
2026-09-12 206000.0 55.2 98.96989 0.33 17.84
2026-09-05 206000.0 55.2 98.96989 0.41 14.32
2026-08-29 203000.0 55.2 98.96989 0.39 14.51
2026-08-21 206000.0 49.5 98.96989 0.5 16.01
2026-08-14 209000.0 49.5 98.96989 0.51 14.63
2026-08-07 199000.0 49.5 98.96989 0.46 15.15
2026-08-01 197000.0 49.5 98.96989 0.47 17.09
2026-07-24 187000.0 44.8 98.96989 0.36 18.7
2026-07-17 208000.0 44.8 98.96989 0.37 16.73
2026-07-10 215000.0 44.8 98.96989 0.35 15.84
2026-07-03 215000.0 44.8 98.96989 0.35 16.59
2026-06-26 215000.0 44.8 98.96989 0.31 18.89
2026-06-19 226000.0 49.8 98.96989 0.27 18.44
2026-06-12 229000.0 49.8 98.96989 0.39 19.44
2026-06-05 225000.0 49.8 98.96989 0.38 15.4
2026-05-29 215000.0 49.8 98.96989 0.46 15.74
2026-05-22 209000.0 49.8 98.96989 0.43 16.76
2026-05-15 211000.0 53.3 98.96989 0.5 17.26
2026-05-08 200000.0 53.3 98.96989 0.48 17.08
2026-05-01 189000.0 53.3 98.96989 0.51 16.89
2026-04-25 214000.0 53.3 98.96989 0.57 18.02
2026-04-21 207000.0 56.6 98.96989 0.54 17.48

Labor utilization shadow series

These rows are not in the BugOut Index. No weight. The week column is the publication date. Observed is the FRED observation date.

Date Prime-age employment-population ratio Observed Prime-age labor force participation Observed
2026-11-06 80.7 2026-10-01 83.7 2026-10-01
2026-10-30 80.7 2026-09-01 83.7 2026-09-01
2026-10-23 80.7 2026-09-01 83.7 2026-09-01
2026-10-16 80.7 2026-09-01 83.7 2026-09-01
2026-10-09 80.7 2026-09-01 83.7 2026-09-01
2026-10-02 80.7 2026-09-01 83.7 2026-09-01
2026-09-25 80.4 2026-08-01 83.4 2026-08-01
2026-09-19 80.4 2026-08-01 83.4 2026-08-01

Food prices shadow series

These rows are not in the BugOut Index. No weight. The week column is the publication date. Observed is the FRED observation date. The value is the 12-month percent change in food CPI.

Date Food CPI, year over year Observed
2026-11-06 2.5 2026-09-01
2026-10-30 2.5 2026-09-01
2026-10-23 2.5 2026-09-01
2026-10-16 2.5 2026-09-01
2026-10-09 2.7 2026-08-01
2026-10-02 2.7 2026-08-01
2026-09-25 2.7 2026-08-01
2026-09-19 2.7 2026-08-01

NYC DHS shelter census shadow series

These rows are not in the BugOut Index. No weight. New York City only, not a U.S. total. The week column is the publication date. Observed is the DHS census date. The value is total individuals in the NYC DHS shelter system, not the HUD AHAR rate.

Date Total individuals in NYC DHS shelters Observed
2026-11-06 83443 2026-11-05
2026-10-30 83716 2026-10-29
2026-10-23 83766 2026-10-22
2026-10-16 83781 2026-10-15
2026-10-09 84042 2026-10-08
2026-10-02 83920 2026-10-01
2026-09-25 84110 2026-09-25

Ramsey County shelter census shadow series

These rows are not in the BugOut Index. No weight. Ramsey County, Minnesota only, not a U.S. total. The week column is the publication date. Observed is the county month stamp. The value is people in emergency shelters, summed across household types, not the HUD AHAR rate.

Date People in Ramsey County emergency shelters Observed
2026-11-06 514 2026-09-01
2026-10-30 514 2026-09-01
2026-10-23 514 2026-09-01
2026-10-16 514 2026-09-01
2026-10-09 480 2026-08-01
2026-10-02 480 2026-08-01

Nashville, Austin, and Denver shelter checklist

These rows are not in the BugOut Index. No weight. Nashville–Davidson, Austin/Travis County, and Denver only. None is a U.S. total. The week column is the publication date. Observed is the date in the checklist. Nashville is people who experienced homelessness that month. Austin is the dashboard’s sheltered card. Denver is a pilot occupancy rate, not a headcount.

Date People experiencing homelessness Observed People likely experiencing sheltered homelessness Observed Pilot shelter occupancy rate Observed
2026-11-06 2907 2026-07-31 1070 2025-07-01 93 2026-06-30
2026-10-30 2907 2026-07-31 1070 2025-07-01 93 2026-06-30
2026-10-23 2907 2026-07-31 1070 2025-07-01 93 2026-06-30
2026-10-16 2907 2026-07-31 1070 2025-07-01 93 2026-06-30
2026-10-09 2907 2026-07-31 1070 2025-07-01 93 2026-06-30
2026-10-02 2907 2026-07-31 1070 2025-07-01 93 2026-06-30

San Francisco shelter occupancy shadow series

These rows are not in the BugOut Index. No weight. San Francisco only, not a U.S. total. The week column is the publication date. Observed is the scorecard month. The value is an occupancy rate in percent, not a headcount and not the HUD AHAR rate.

Date SF year-round shelter occupancy rate Observed
2026-11-06 90.0 2026-08-31
2026-10-30 90.0 2026-08-31
2026-10-23 90.0 2026-08-31
2026-10-16 90.0 2026-08-31
2026-10-09 90.0 2026-08-31
2026-10-02 90.0 2026-08-31

Pew public trust shadow series

These rows are not in the BugOut Index. No weight. The week column is the publication date. Observed is the Pew survey date in the checklist. The value is the share who trust the government in Washington just about always or most of the time. It is not the Edelman trust input.

Date Trust the government in Washington Observed
2026-11-06 17 2025-09-28
2026-10-30 17 2025-09-28
2026-10-23 17 2025-09-28
2026-10-16 17 2025-09-28
2026-10-09 17 2025-09-28
2026-10-02 17 2025-09-28

Gallup confidence shadow series

These rows are not in the BugOut Index. No weight. The week column is the publication date. Observed is the Gallup survey date in the checklist. The value is “a great deal” plus “quite a lot.” This table is the current annual reading carried on publish weeks. It is not a Gallup historical archive and it is not the Edelman trust input.

Date Congress Observed The presidency Observed U.S. Supreme Court Observed 14 institutions since 1993 Observed
2026-11-06 9 2026-06-15 27 2026-06-15 27 2026-06-15 27 2026-06-15
2026-10-30 9 2026-06-15 27 2026-06-15 27 2026-06-15 27 2026-06-15
2026-10-23 9 2026-06-15 27 2026-06-15 27 2026-06-15 27 2026-06-15
2026-10-16 9 2026-06-15 27 2026-06-15 27 2026-06-15 27 2026-06-15
2026-10-09 9 2026-06-15 27 2026-06-15 27 2026-06-15 27 2026-06-15
2026-10-02 9 2026-06-15 27 2026-06-15 27 2026-06-15 27 2026-06-15